Thursday, October 31, 2024

The Tide is Turning

 
     And it'll be a tsunami.
     Look, I should be working on my next novel. It's entitled The Final Bullet and, to those of you familiar with my Scott Carson series, it will be a Kelley McCarthy standalone thriller. It's coming along very well and I'm excited about it. But I have a higher priority until November 5th.
    But the election is in a little over five days and, before you know it, election day will be here. After literally two years of this election cycle, it will suddenly be upon us, like John Cleese's Sir Lancelot. After all, this is the Super Bowl or World Series for political bloggers. And I and millions (if not tens of millions) of us will be up all night watching the election results.
     The last time I didn't do so was on Election Night 2004, just a couple of months before I jumped into the blogosphere. I went to bed that night, safe and secure in the delusion that the forces of good would finally get the upper hand and we'd be able to call John Kerry the president-elect.
     Instead, I got the news that morning that Bush had stolen yet another election, courtesy of J. Kenneth Blackwell, the staggeringly corrupt Ohio Secretary of State and, incredibly, Bush's campaign co-chair. So, remembering that horrible start to the day, I swore that I would never sleep through another election night. And since then, I've been there for them all, the good, bad and the ugly.
     I generally do a constantly updated post, or what's known as live blogging, as the election results start rolling in. And I'll be doing that again for whatever few people will care to tune in. And most of you who still continue to audit this forum will be the choir and maybe even a few apostates. I'm not going to pretend, nor ever will, that my opinions one way or the other will move any needle by so much as a micron.
     But I will implore you to watch this video from the Meidas Touch Network, to whose channel I proudly subscribe. Their video titles always seem to be hyperbolic and silly in nature but the title for this lead video does not exaggerate. It shows an interesting cross-section of people who have early voted, especially after Trump's Two Minutes Hate in Madison Square Garden where 20,000 idiots laughed when a so-called comedian called Puerto Rico a "floating island of garbage".
     The passion, emotions and disgust from the people who had posted videos to their social media explaining why they voted for Kamala Harris are at times hilarious, emotional and poignant. Young women voted to cancel out their Republican fathers' votes only to find out they'd voted for Harris, too. A mother of two sons who'd voted Harris on behalf of her two future daughters in law. And Latinos and Latinas who were outraged by the Madison Square Garden hate rally and its overt and shameless racism.
     I will also remind you that Kamala Harris had held a rally at the Ellipse just last evening in which she drew about 75,000 people. It was stealing Trump's old thunder because she stood in the exact same spot in which Trump launched his attack on the government on January 6, 2021. She went to right wing hallowed ground and pissed all over it.
     Harris was also leading in all seven battleground states in a series of polls taken early last August. And, yes, that's an eternity in political terms. But I defy anyone to tell me how the Harris-Walz campaign could lose ground in any of them considering what a shambling nightmare the Trump campaign has been.
     There's a shift, a sea change, a groundswell of support that even the press can't successfully hide, downplay or ignore. Several people, including myself, have stated they haven't felt this level of enthusiasm since Obama's first run in 2008. And both sides are screaming for 100,000,000 votes for their guy or girl. Of course, neither will come close to that. But look also at the early voting numbers.
     Maricopa County here in Phoenix is the largest in Arizona with 2.1 million voters. But the county has already counted a cool million early ballots or half the county. In Georgia, 2.6 million people had already voted early by last Saturday, which is over half the record turnout in 2020. In Wisconsin, 100,000 early votes were counted on just the first day of early voting with the number in the Badger State eventually swelling to 511,000. In Michigan, the first day of early voting brought in 145,000 ballots. I could go on and on but I think you get my point.
     Now, in no state is it legal to count early or absentee ballots until the polls close on Election Night, so we don't know who voted for whom. However, history tells us that absentee and especially early ballots tend to skew Democratic. Why else do you think Republicans have been slavering to shorten or end early voting? Because it favors Democrats.
     Another thing to consider before drinking yourself into oblivion- Does one seriously entertain the thought that Trump, who struggles to fill even the most modest of venues, is getting millions, tens of millions of souls to the polls and mailing in early ballots? We saw much the same thing in 2020 and the Biden-Harris ticket wound up collecting over 81,000,000 votes. 2020 shattered a 120 year-old record by boasting a 66% voter turnout.
     So before you chew your fingernails down to your elbows, relax and simply stop listening to the Grand Poobahs of the Polling and Political Punditocracy. Don't listen to the corrupt mainstream media. Hell, don't even listen to me. Listen to your heart and mind, listen to your central nervous system.
     Harris is winning this election and it will be by a landslide. She won't get 100,000,000 votes and that's OK because we don't go by popular votes. But she will get 310 electoral votes and maybe even more.
     In just under seven days, you'll see I'm right.

2 Comments:

At October 31, 2024 at 5:58 PM, Blogger Unknown said...

JP - I'm looking forward to the next novel! Congrats!

 
At October 31, 2024 at 6:03 PM, Blogger jurassicpork said...

Don't pat me on the back until it''s written, revised, edited, reformatted and published.

 

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