It Ain't Over 'Till the Fat Man Whines

    I've been keeping a close eye on the numbers since the polls in New Hampshire closed at 8 tonight. With 32% of the precincts reporting. Haley was losing by more than 8%. Now, with 41% reporting, Haley is only down by 7.1%. In other words, Haley's gaining on Trump and the AP called it way too early. This primary isn't over by a long shot.

    In other words, Haley is turning into a viable threat to Trump. It isn't the 50/60 point blowout that Trump predicted or the 30 point margin that he later went with. Next up on the Republican primary calendar is South Carolina, Haley's home state. She's expected to be competitive, to say the least.

     The NH primary's not over and neither is the GOP primary season. Now that Haley and Trump are the only two major contenders for the Republican nod, it only makes sense that the margins are tightening. Iowa wasn't predictive of anything and it hardly ever is. New Hampshire's different. Now that all the other major Republican contenders are out, GOP voters who are disgusted by Trump and vowing to not vote for him a third time are going to rally behind Haley.

     Plus, the exit polls from CNN's internal polling show that Trump could be in trouble in NH and moving forward toward Super Tuesday. And, if anything's going to topple Trump, it's going to be his leaning into the Roe v Wade repeal that he's been bragging about. CNN found that 67% of New Hampshire voters are against an abortion ban and 45% are in favor of a legal pathway for citizenship.

     Bottom line as of right now: Trump may indeed get the nod but it won't be a cakewalk and Haley's not going anywhere for now.